Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by End of 2026
Volume
$13.2M
Polymarket ID
567687
Data Points
0
Probability Chart
Yes 29.5%
No 70.5%
Insufficient history data for chart
Context
Easter ceasefire (April 11-12) announced by Putin. Orthodox Easter 32-hour truce expires as oil sanctions waiver expires. Ukraine sceptical. Market shows conditional ceasefire probability at 29.5% (direct question) but 53.5% when framed with entertainment timeline (GTA VI release speculation).
Related Events
Russia Ukraine Orthodox Easter Ceasefire (Russia Ukraine Easter Ceasefire 2026)