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Geopolitical prediction markets with probability tracking and trend data.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

8.7%
Vol: $19.6M 48 data points

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

29.5%
Vol: $13.2M 48 data points

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

28.5%
Vol: $9.9M 1 data points

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

71.5%
Vol: $9.1M 1 data points

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10.5%
Vol: $3.6M 48 data points

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

4.2%
Vol: $2.3M 48 data points

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

0%
Vol: $2.1M 48 data points

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

18.5%
Vol: $2.1M 48 data points

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

0%
Vol: $1.6M 48 data points

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

0%
Vol: $1.4M 48 data points

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

0%
Vol: $1.3M 48 data points

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

0%
Vol: $1.1M 48 data points

Ukraine election called in 2025?

0%
Vol: $983K 48 data points

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

0%
Vol: $966K 48 data points

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

0%
Vol: $837K 48 data points

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

0%
Vol: $821K 48 data points

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

0%
Vol: $765K 48 data points

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

0%
Vol: $701K 48 data points

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

0%
Vol: $696K 48 data points

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

14.5%
Vol: $600K 48 data points

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

0%
Vol: $497K 48 data points

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

0%
Vol: $494K 48 data points

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

52.5%
Vol: $583 0 data points

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by June 2026?

3.4%
Vol: $104 0 data points

NATO/EU Troops Fighting in Ukraine by June 2026

3.35%
Vol: $104 0 data points

US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

3.15%
Vol: $62 0 data points

US x Russia Military Clash by June 30, 2026

3.1%
Vol: $62 0 data points

Will China Invade Taiwan by End of 2026

8.7%
Vol: $20 0 data points

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by End of 2026

29.5%
Vol: $13 0 data points

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

53.5%
Vol: $11 0 data points

Will the Next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

29.5%
Vol: $10 0 data points

Will the Next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

70.5%
Vol: $9 0 data points

Russia invade NATO country by June 30, 2026?

4.35%
Vol: $2 0 data points

Russia Invade NATO Country by June 30, 2026

4.35%
Vol: $2 0 data points

China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

51.5%
Vol: $2 0 data points

Russia invade NATO country in 2025?

0%
Vol: $1 0 data points

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

24.5%
Vol: $1 0 data points

Starmer Out by June 30, 2026?

24.5%
Vol: $1 0 data points

Macron out in 2025?

0%
Vol: $1 0 data points

Starmer out in 2025?

0%
Vol: $1 0 data points

Trump x Xi Meeting Before July 2026

9%
Vol: $0 0 data points