Strait of Hormuz Closure (April 2026)
EscalatingChina warns against sending weapons to Iran amid escalating tensions
2026-04-13Geopolitical event tracking, prediction markets, and narrative analysis.
Trump's naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz takes effect April 13 as Pentagon clarifies non-Iranian port transits will be permitted — partially de-escalating global oil market concerns. Hungary's Orbán concedes election as Tisza's Magyar calls on president to step down within 30 days, with new PM election mandated. Orthodox Easter ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has expired with both sides reporting thousands of violations during the truce period.
China warns against sending weapons to Iran amid escalating tensions
2026-04-13Global Sumud Flotilla departs Barcelona for Gaza
2026-04-13Trump warned China on Iran arms: "If China does that, China could have big problems"
2026-04-12China establishes new county in Xinjiang near Pakistan-Administered Kashmir (PoK) and Afghan border; third new county in over a year
2026-04-12Thousands gather as largest-ever aid flotilla departs Barcelona for Gaza to break Israeli blockade
2026-04-12Orbán concedes defeat after calling the winner
2026-04-12Parliament elected Nizar Amedi as president after five months of political deadlock; Amedi pledges "Iraq First"
2026-04-12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Vol: $19.6M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Vol: $14.1M
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Vol: $3.8M
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Vol: $2.1M